HenriqueCen
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Age1.6Year
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Nasdaq $NDX is dropping 4%.
I love it when this happens. It creates opportunities and a new certainty: that today, stocks are cheaper than they were yesterday. 😍
LOVE4.3%
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Simple quant interview question (HSBC):
A blind man is alone on a deserted island. He has two blue pills and two red pills. He must take exactly one red pill and one blue pill to survive. How does he do it?
ISLAND-6.13%
BLUE-5.48%
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This is truly what inside my brain looks like.
A couple of weeks ago, I got sick with a fever and spent hours hallucinating about Markov Chains, Feynman Path Integral, GARCH models, GBM and Monte Carlo simulations.
LOOKS11.85%
ITGR-5.58%
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Japanese yield curves are rising across all tenors.
Some quite dramatically.
The 1y yield went from -0.02% to 0.69% in 18 months.
It smells like roast turkey 🍗
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Using *some* leverage can be amazing to compound returns over the long term.
Any investment has volatility decay. The secret is to find the optimal leverage in order to maximize returns while limiting decay.
This has been an object of my study for years.
COMP-3.89%
ORDER-3.88%
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Diving into Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratios for Health Stocks 💉
The P/B ratio compares a stock's market price to its book value—great for benchmarking against competitors or historical trends. And potentially can be used to find value stocks.
HOWEVER, a low P/B could mean it's undervalued... or just a dud. Always dig deeper!
I crunched numbers via Finchat on some health giants I've been eyeing. Here's the scoop:
- Eli Lilly (LLY): Sky-high P/B of 48.9—trading at a massive premium. But I like their Tirzepatide Zepbound product. Tons of profit potential from obesity.
- Novo Nordisk (NVO): P/B of 14.
VIA-5.89%
NOT1.16%
WILD22.17%
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I'm incredibly proud to introduce my new indicator:
The Risk Distribution Histogram 📊
It was selected as a Top Pick by the @tradingview team! 🤩📈
My tool visualizes the STATISTICAL DISTRIBUTION OF RISK metrics for ANY financial ticker, turning complex data into easy-to-read histograms with quartile-based color coding:
It supports multiple risk methods tailored for traders:
- Standard Deviation: For overall volatility and options trading.
- Average True Range (ATR): Position sizing and stop-loss.
- Downside Deviation: Focus on negative moves for capital protection.
- Drawdown Analysis: Spot m
ATR-3.88%
MAX-0.67%
ME-3.82%
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The stock market is a machine to transfer money from the impatient to the patient.
$PLTR, $META, $KTOS, $CRWD, $NVTS, $DASH
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People use 10x leverage to buy a house, but everyone freaks out about using a 2x leverage to invest in stocks 🤦🏽‍♂️🤣
HOUSE-11.8%
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My analysis on UnitedHealth $UNH was picked by the @tradingview team. 😇
It's mostly about fundamental analysis, and there are some great opportunities in the health sector. I'm also looking at $PFE, $LLY and $NVO
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NONE of the top richest people in the world made their money in the bond market or day trading.
BOND3.07%
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The US stock market PE ratio is now at a 20-year high, and it's more than double of its mean.
What does this mean?
Nothing. Absolutely nothing. 😇
MORE-0.21%
VOID-8.04%
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I cringe when I hear a VC saying that they don't invest in the @Polkadot ecosystem.
Polkadot developer is the 4th biggest.
Bigger than Cosmos, Move, Base, Polygon, Starknet, Near, Avalanche, bigger than any L2...
If you don't invest in the Polkadot ecosystem, I wonder. Maybe you should stop investing completely.
VC0.4%
DON-14.45%
DOT-3.6%
ATOM-1.74%
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I will revisit this post in one year.
$UNH, $LLY, $PFE, $NVO
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My UnitedHealth $UNH Investment Thesis 🏥🩺 🚨
Healthcare's downturn is uncovering gems like Eli Lilly, Novo Nordisk, Pfizer—and now UNH. Down ~50% YTD, but July 29 earnings could trigger a turnaround. As a proven outperformer, UNH looks deeply undervalued. Here's my bull case in bullets 👇
Why the Sell-Off? Overblown 2024 Chaos
- Dominated 2009-2023: Annual positive returns, steady EPS growth, 134% 10-year gains.
- Key hits: Feb cyber attack (one-time EPS dip), DOJ antitrust/fraud probes, rising Medicare/Optum costs.
- April: Q1 earnings miss + lowered guidance.
- Leadership: CEO death and dr
GEMS-7.27%
LOOKS11.85%
WHY-4.22%
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Look, I'm not a financial advisor, but I wonder how financial advisors feel telling their clients to put a big % of their portfolio into bonds.
The chart below shows the top bond funds (flat-lined) and the $SPX S&P 500 returning 640% and $Q returning 2,500% in the same period.
Rediculous. Bonds have been a total disaster for most investors.
NOT1.16%
BOND3.07%
SPX-7.71%
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"The Little Book of Valuation" by Aswath Damodaran
The valuation professor's cheat sheet. Damodaran breaks down DCF, P/E ratios, and company valuation into bite-sized lessons. Perfect for understanding what companies are REALLY worth.
Amazon: 4.4 ⭐ | My rating: 4.0 ⭐
RATING0.04%
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Introducing: My Monte Carlo Simulator with Kelly Criterion for Optimal Leverage!
I love this tool that I created and wanted to share with you all.
I've built a FREE tool that runs Monte Carlo simulations to find it! It calculates Kelly leverage, fractional Kelly, and optimal leverage based on historical data and thousands of sims.
Stress-test your setups, uncover tail risks, and optimize like a pro. 😎
Quick How-To:
- Select asset & historical data on the left.
- Set investment params (e.g., leverage: manual, full Kelly, fractional, or optimized).
- Choose sim method: Monte Carlo, GARCH, Marko
LOVE4.3%
ITGR-5.58%
MODE-9.89%
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Big Bear AI stock $BBAI is up over 200% since I talked about it just a few months ago 😳
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