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Based on the latest situation in the Middle East, I have the following analysis of the current conflict between Israel and Iran:
Currently, Israel holds absolute military superiority, especially having complete control over the air battlefield, and is carrying out precision strikes against the Iranian regime. It is noteworthy that Iran seems to be struggling in this military confrontation, finding it difficult to mount effective countermeasures. The characteristic of this conflict is that it is unlikely for both sides to escalate into a full-scale ground war, as Iran is unable to leverage its demographic advantage to form what is known as a "human wave tactic" advantage.
Another key factor is the current state of domestic politics in Iran, where the legitimacy of the theocratic rule is relatively low among the public, raising questions about the stability of the regime, and political change may just be a matter of time.
From a strategic perspective, Israel does not need to risk a ground invasion, while the United States has adopted a strategy of indirect support, primarily through providing air supplies and deploying aircraft carriers for strategic deterrence. This approach may gradually erode the ruling capacity of the Iranian regime until opposition forces emerge. If the opposition eventually comes to power, the United States may provide appropriate support to steer Iran toward a political course similar to that of Syria. This development could potentially end the long-standing turmoil in the Middle East and eliminate the main sources of instability in the region.
From a broader economic perspective, the prospects for regional stability will have positive impacts across multiple areas, including the digital asset market. This transition is worth ongoing attention.