Why can't Bitcoin price break $112K all-time highs? BTC analysts explain

Key takeaways:

• Bitcoin price taps $110,000, but low spot buying demand suggests the upside could be limited.
• High retail FOMO and a near-overbought RSI signal a potential BTC price correction.

Bitcoin (BTC) price has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows in the 1-hour time frame since reaching a three-week high of $110,300 on July 2

As the end of the week approaches, BTC price has failed to break above the all-time high at $112,000.

*BTC/USD hourly chart. Source: Cointelegraph/*TradingView## What’s keeping Bitcoin price below $112,000?

Bitcoin’s price has rallied 5% over the last 48 hours, reaching an intraday high of $110,392 on July 3, per data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView

Despite this performance, the ability to push above the all-time highs at $112,000 is currently limited due to the absence of buyers.

Bitcoin’s spot volume delta metric, an indicator that measures the net difference between buying and selling trade volumes, reveals that net spot buying on exchanges remains negative even as BTC price attempts to break out

Related: Bitcoin may tap $116K in July amid ‘perfect storm’ of macro catalysts

This suggests a lack of momentum, potentially leading to a pullback or consolidation if derivative-driven pumps dominate without spot market support.

“BTC is breaking out, but where’s the spot demand?” says market data resource Swissblock Technologies in its latest post on X, adding:

“Without real demand, breakouts run on fumes. We need buyers to sustain the price breakout.”

Bitcoin’s post volume delta. Source: SwissblockLooking ahead, K33 Research points out that spot volumes tend to be far lower from June through October compared to the remainder of the year, with July historically being one of the quietest months, accounting for only 6.1% of the annual volume. This could stop BTC’s attempt to hit fresh record highs over the next few weeks.

K33 Research wrote:

“Although July 2025 brings potential catalysts, including Trump’s budget bill, tariff decisions, and a crypto executive order deadline, seasonal patterns suggest markets may continue drifting in low-volume and low-volatility doldrums despite the busy news backdrop.”

Percentage of annual trading volume per month. Source: K33 ResearchAs Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin price needs fresh demand from spot buyers to break out of the current range into price discovery

BTC price could see a “brief rally halt”

Bitcoin’s surge to $110,000 has sparked intense FOMO, with retail traders fueling calls for even higher prices, according to onchain data provider Santiment.

“Crypto crowd has officially flipped from FUD to FOMO following Bitcoin’s rise to $109.8K,” the firm said in a July 3 post on X

However, crypto market sentiment, currently in “greed" territory at 73, often signals a contrarian move

Historically, when retail traders exhibit excessive optimism, markets tend to reverse or pause as pro investors capitalize on overbought conditions

If accompanied by high trading volumes and speculative bets, this greed-driven sentiment can inflate prices temporarily, resulting in a pullback

Crowd calls for higher Bitcoin prices. Source: SantimentBitcoin’s relative strength index, or RSI, displays near overbought conditions in four out of six timeframes. This suggests that the price is entering the exhaustion zone, hinting at a potential correction in the shorter term.

Crypto market RSI heatmap. Source: CoinGlassWhile Bitcoin attempts to break $110,000, the current euphoria suggests a brief halt or consolidation is likely as the market “resets” retail exuberance, potentially stabilizing before resuming the uptrend.

Santiment wrote:

“Prices move opposite to retail traders’ behavior, so don’t be surprised by a brief rally halt while greed is high.”

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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