When will the alt season of this bull run market come???

The big cake has been rising continuously in the past few days, while other currencies are not rising, and the local market seems to be rotating in the zone. The first wave of memes has been rotated, and it seems that today's rotation zone is for Ripple-like payment attribute currencies. The overall market has not yet arrived.
There have always been people doubting whether there is still an altcoin season. Although I am still losing money, I still have great confidence and anticipation for the outbreak of altcoin season.
Today, I have nothing to do on the weekend, so I decided to do a Technical Analysis. About half a year ago, I did a study on topping out. I spent a whole night researching it, and I found that many of the articles I summarized before would be brought up and pondered over again when I wanted to top out. I hope I can successfully top out this bull market.
In fact, since the beginning of this year, I have been sharing my insights on the market. I want to fully record my insights and market trends during this Bull Market, and see if I can find some secrets inadvertently when I escape the peak, which will facilitate my next round of cyclical investment. Everything that can be seen is fate.
Without further ado. This time I want to study two questions: (1) When will the altcoin outbreak occur? (2) Analyzing the trend of BTC's market capitalization ratio.
(1) When will the altcoin explosion come?
I am very sure that altcoin will eventually experience a surge, it's just a matter of time. The lack of synchronization between altcoin and BTC has left many fren feeling at a loss. Sigh, BTC has risen a lot, but I am still at a loss when I look at my holdings.
Based on the previous few bull runs, let's analyze their asynchrony.
The following is the price trend chart of Bitcoin and the top ten coins. Let's first look at the situation in 2017. On December 9, 2017, Bitcoin had already experienced a big rise from the bottom for a month, almost doubling or tripling, while the top ten Altcoins were still at the bottom, gathering momentum.
Figure 1
BTC reached the peak of the Bull Market a week later, and AltCoins began to show a clear collective surge during this week.
Figure 2
After reaching a high point, BTC began to experience a relatively large pullback, and the funds overflowed from BTC started to flow massively into AltCoin, causing a violent surge in AltCoin. There is a noticeable lag of about 20 days from the high point of BTC to the point where AltCoin starts to reach the high point.
Figure 3
Take a look at the situation in 2021. On January 27th, 2021, BTC has risen significantly from the bottom for a month and a half, almost doubling or tripling in value. The top ten AltCoins have not experienced a significant rise, and altcoin is just a local market.
Figure 4
BTC begins to continue to rise, the altcoin begins to follow rise for a month and a half.
Figure 5
BTC started its most volatile period in a month and a half, while AltCoins began to experience a collective big pump.
Chart 6
Funds overflowing from BTC are starting to flow heavily into AltCoin, causing AltCoin to violently rise. There is a clear lag of about 20 days from the peak of BTC to the point where AltCoin begins to reach its peak.
Figure 7
Judging from the two Bull Markets, AltCoin needs to wait for more than a month after BTC experiences a significant increase before it can show a significant increase. Currently, it has been about two weeks since BTC started to increase significantly. Analyzing the current situation, it may take at least two more weeks for AltCoin to usher in a comprehensive phase of increase.
In fact, from the Market Cap comparison curve, it is obvious that the true Bull Market rally of BTC is often out of sync with the altcoin bull. The better the synchronicity, the more it indicates that the Bull Market is not over yet or has already passed. In addition, looking back, the synchronous rise and fall of BTC and Altcoin at the beginning of this year also indicates that it was not the real start of a major bull run. From the current perspective, BTC has started to break away from the independent market trend of the past two weeks, which indicates that the altcoin bull market may come in a few weeks.
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(2) Market Cap Analysis of BTC's proportion and trend.
Currently, the Market Cap of BTC has reached 60%. Historically, this is a very sensitive point.
Because of BTC's, the phase high points, when they come, are basically at the 60% BTC position.
Gate 9
When reaching the peak, the proportion is basically around 55%.
Figure ten
When BTC's Market Cap dominance falls from 60% to 40%, it is a cause for concern. At this time, the AltCoins have reached their peak and the Bear Market is about to come. This is a good time to get out. Don't miss the opportunity.
Figure 11
So from the current perspective, BTCMarket Cap accounts for just over 60% in the picture, and it is expected to gradually increase in the future. That is to say, BTC may continue to rise on its own for a period of time in the future, possibly reaching a share of 70%, and then AltCoin will begin to usher in spring.
In summary, don't be disheartened if you miss the opportunity to buy low-priced BTC, hold onto mainstream coins. In fact, it is currently a window period, with BTC showing independent market trends, while others are not rising much. This may be the time when you have missed BTC, but still want to seize the best opportunity to get on board this wave of bull market and make some profits. Because there are still many coins at low levels within a year. When the altcoin season comes, there will be good opportunities. For those who have missed the BTC train, there is still a last chance to wait for, and the opportunity will pass in a flash.