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After breaking through a long-term downtrend, XRP is currently in a critical consolidation phase. In mid-July, the price of XRP once surged to a high of $3.60, but then pulled back and fluctuated in the range of $2.90 to $3.30. This price action suggests that the market may need to pull back further to key support levels to lay the groundwork for the next pump.
From a technical analysis perspective, several key Fibonacci pullback levels are worth noting. The range of $2.95 to $3.00 (0.382 pullback level) is the first important support level, which will largely determine the recent trend of XRP. If the price dips, $2.70 (0.5 pullback level) and $2.46 to $2.50 (0.618 pullback level) form a broader accumulation area that may attract long-term investors. However, if the price breaks below $2.07 (0.786 pullback level), it could signal the beginning of a long-term downtrend.
Currently, the technical indicators show a cautiously bearish signal. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 43.22, slightly weak but not yet in the oversold area, indicating that there is still room for the market to rise. The MACD histogram shows that the downward pressure is weakening, and if buying volume can effectively increase, we might see a price reversal. However, the trading volume is only 5.26 million, far below the previous peak levels, reflecting a lack of confidence in the current market.
Looking ahead, the trend of XRP will depend on the breakthrough or support of several key price levels. If the price can break through the resistance level of $3.20, it is expected to further attack the range of $3.40 to $3.60. Conversely, if the price fails to break through and falls below the support level of $2.90, the pullback may extend to $2.70. However, if this pullback can receive effective support, XRP still has the potential to restore its upward trend and is expected to challenge the target level of $4.67.
Although the market may face fluctuations and uncertainty in the short term, the long-term outlook for XRP remains optimistic. Investors should closely monitor these key price levels and adjust their strategies in a timely manner based on market changes. In this cryptocurrency market filled with opportunities and challenges, it is crucial to remain vigilant and flexible.