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Based on the current market data and technical indicators (July 31, 2025), Solana (SOL) is likely to exhibit the following key trends today:
1. Short-term bullish signal technical breakout: SOL has recently formed support around $179 and is attempting to break through the $190-$195 resistance range. If it holds above $195, it may further test the psychological barrier of $200.
Institutional capital inflow: Institutions such as Upexi have recently increased their holdings of SOL, providing $500 million in credit support to enhance market confidence.
On-chain data: The URPD (Unspent Transaction Output Distribution) of SOL indicates that there is little resistance above $200, and a breakthrough may accelerate the rise.
2. Potential pullback risk of short-term overbought: RSI (Relative Strength Index) is approaching 60, and if it enters the overbought zone (>70), it may trigger a short-term pullback.
Capital outflow: Yesterday, SOL had a net outflow of $13.89 million, indicating that some investors have taken profits.
Key support test: If it falls below the $179 support, it may drop to $167 (100-day moving average) or even $14689.
3. Key price range upward target: After breaking $195, it may challenge the $200-$220 range.
Downside risk: If it falls below $179, it may retreat to the $167-$146 support zone.
4. Market Catalysts ETF Expectations: The market's expectations for the approval of the SOL spot ETF are heating up, and if progress goes smoothly, it may drive the price to 24.
Firedancer Upgrade: The Solana network is about to undergo a critical upgrade that may boost market confidence.
Today's trend prediction optimistic scenario: If it breaks through $195 and stabilizes, it may test $200-$210.
Pessimistic scenario: If it falls below $179, it may pull back to the $167-$150 range.
Suggested focus:
$179-$195 range (short-term bullish-bearish watershed)
Volume change (breakthrough needs volume confirmation)
Institutional capital flow (ETF progress and on-chain data).
Currently, SOL is at a critical breakout stage. It is recommended to adjust strategies based on real-time data and set stop-loss orders.