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Track real-time hotspots in the crypto world and seize the best trading opportunities. Today is Tuesday, July 22, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all coin friends ☀️ hardcore fan daily attendance 👍 Like and make a fortune 🍗🍗🌹🌹
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U.S. stocks closed lower on Monday, with the Dow slightly down, the Nasdaq up 0.38%, and the S&P 500 index up 0.14%. Nvidia ( NVDA.O ) and Tesla ( TSLA.O ) both fell by less than 1%. Circle ( CRCL.N ) dropped more than 3%, while Robinhood ( HOOD.O ) fell nearly 5%. According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 97.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 41.4%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 57.2%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 1.5%. The crypto market has seen significant fluctuations again, with Bitcoin currently at 117410, down 0.8%, and Ethereum at 3760, down 1.35%. Currently, both the U.S. stock market and the crypto market are in a state of intertwined bullish and bearish factors, and the direction of the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy is undoubtedly the focus of market attention in the future. It is necessary to closely monitor relevant economic data and policy trends to better respond to potential changes in the market.
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On Monday, Bitcoin's price dipped to the 116446 line in the early hours before rebounding to a high of 119666 in the afternoon, followed by a pullback. In the evening, it slightly rose to 119245 before facing resistance and retreating. In the early morning, it fell back to the 116640 line and began rebounding. From a daily perspective, the price of the big coin is hovering around the upper Bollinger Band. Recently, after exploring a new high at 123300, the market has been in a range-bound state, with constant upper and lower shadow lines appearing in the overall market. The market momentum is strong, and opportunities are continually presented to us. Looking at the current situation, the Bollinger Band is in a contracted state, indicating that the market has not yet released a clear signal of increased volume. This means that in the short term, the momentum of both long and short sides is tending to balance, and there is currently no strong force to break the existing pattern. In this narrow range-bound pattern, "don't break the range, sell high and buy low" remains the optimal operating logic. Because during range-bound fluctuations without clear breakout signals, blindly chasing highs and selling lows can easily lead to a passive position. By following the strategy of selling high and buying low, purchasing at relative lows and selling at relative highs can better adapt to the current market rhythm and seize the opportunities brought by market fluctuations!
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Ethereum refreshed its recent high point again during yesterday's trading session. In the early morning, it spiked to around 3681, starting a rebound. Throughout the day, it continued to rise, testing a high of 3856 before facing some resistance and pulling back. As of now, it has dropped to around 3718, initiating another rebound, and is currently operating around 3756. Although the market has seen a pullback of nearly 100 points, the overall upward trend has not changed. Moreover, the recent market has consistently shown a trend of creating new highs, which undoubtedly injects a lot of confidence into the market. From the four-hour K-line chart, there are no signs that the upward trend has ended, which further confirms the overall positive momentum. Analyzing from the technical indicator perspective, the EMA trend indicators are all stretching upwards, which is a clear bullish signal. However, it is important to note that the fast and slow lines are pulling apart too much, indicating that the volatility between bulls and bears will also increase, and the market may experience a certain degree of fluctuation. The operational strategy still suggests taking long positions in line with the trend. Under the background of an unchanged overall upward trend, following the trend often allows for better market opportunities. Of course, due to the potential for increased volatility between bulls and bears, risk control must be exercised during operations, with appropriate take-profit and stop-loss settings to cope with possible market fluctuations. ) #以太坊突破3800# #Gate 6月透明度报告#