After trading for a long time, we actually all know a principle: in any market, for any type of trading, where there is a rise, there is a fall. In the contract market, losses often do not depend on whether your analysis of the rise and fall in the next second is correct, but rather whether you are using leverage correctly, whether you have managed your position and risk well, and ultimately whether you can achieve a good result with this order.

As I said yesterday, after breaking a new high, the market will be very volatile, with fluctuations of several thousand dollars up and down. Therefore, leverage should not exceed 10 times. Once the leverage is fully utilized, you won't dare to move your Position, making it impossible to operate. You won't dare to do T to adjust the cost price because you're afraid that if you don't handle the Position well, it will become too heavy. You can only lie flat to the original opening price, and once you lie down, it’s hard to say how many weeks or one or two months it will be. Once you lie down, you lose the initiative, and it becomes meaningless. So since you choose to reach for the high to short, you need to build your Position in batches, leaving room for another wave of pull-up to have the opportunity to adjust your Position while maintaining a high strong liquidation. I shorted from 100000 to 117000, and at 117000, I placed a short order. Sometimes the market is very strange, counterintuitive, contrary to the so-called macro situation. Most analysts, including myself, expect that the US stock market will correct on Monday because it initially related to the tariff issue that caused Ethereum to spike to 1390. We pay attention to the pre-market US Dollar Index, and also to the European session, London session, and gold, because the fluctuations of these things will indirectly reflect what situation the market is in. With geopolitical tensions rising, gold is likely to rise. If gold falls, it naturally indicates a de-escalation in geopolitics, including oil; everything closely related to life is very sensitive.

Bitcoin rose from 105000 to 115000, with no real positive news; it's just that the market has moved, and everyone is trying to find good news for it. Even if the news says a listed company has increased its holdings by 0.1 Bitcoin, if the market wants a reason, that 0.1 Bitcoin becomes the reason. In simple terms, it's just that large institutions are pushing the price up. After 115000, if you analyze the news, this rise has no logic. The US stock market is falling, yet it's rising; tariff negotiations are being restarted, and it's going against that, rising even higher. There are uncertainties in the market, and conversely, it rises higher. Something unusual must have something behind it! Therefore, there is no need to use high leverage for short positions because if there is a correction this time, it will be significant. Allow it some space to touch up a few more times, using each opportunity to pull the cost price to a relatively good position for adjustment. Even with low leverage, whether 3x or 5x, if the order has a large span, the profit won't be small.

I don't touch orders for Ethereum because there are many uncertainties. My chips are only in high-certainty coins. In a market correction, you said it's normal for Ethereum to be below 2500. If it acts up and trades on news to create a one-sided trend, it could rise to 4000. It hasn't really exploded in this bull market; anything can happen in the market. For me now, any coin that hasn't broken a new high or a new low and is close to the MA moving average has a high level of uncertainty because a major news event could happen at any time.
It will break the technical level.

Therefore, we must achieve true stability, with all principal as the premise, to pursue compound interest, eliminate the backlash brought by high leverage, and attempt to generate high-leverage profits using low leverage. #BTC# #ETH#