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Track real-time hotspots in the crypto world and seize the best trading opportunities. Today is Monday, July 14, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all coin friends ☀️ hardcore fan daily attendance 👍 Like and make a fortune 🍗🍗🌹🌹
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A new week begins, and after the weekend's fluctuations, liquidity has indeed shown some small changes. After the rise on Friday and the liquidation of previous high-position shorts, there was clearly more long liquidity below. Following a small pullback, it entered the weekend's fluctuations. As of now, it is quite noticeable that the long liquidity below has started to decrease, likely due to profit-taking by long positions, while new shorts have begun to regroup above. This aligns with the tenacious personality of the shorts. After all, at the current high levels, market sentiment according to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 93.3%, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 6.7%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 59.7%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 36.2%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 4.1%.
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Bitcoin fluctuated in a range last night, with the price rising to break through the 119,000 mark, peaking at 119,480! After a pullback to stabilize at 118,500 in the early morning, the focus of the coin has slowly shifted upwards, currently oscillating in a small range. Although the 4-hour chart shows consecutive long upper shadows, indicating a pullback in the coin, the overall upward shift is too evident, necessitating a cautious attitude towards the pullback space. From the current market trend, the overall situation presents a pattern of rising and then falling, followed by another pullback to a low point. This pullback action is crucial as it helps determine the effectiveness of the bottom support. In the field of technical analysis, pulling back to a low point is a correction of the previous upward trend and an important process for testing the strength of bottom support. Looking ahead, we still adhere to a strategy of participating in low buys.
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Ethereum rebounded from the low of 2901 yesterday, reaching a high of 3019 overnight before pulling back. After oscillating at the high, it fell back to around 2937. The bullish trend remains dominant, and it may first test the resistance level at 3040 in the short term, with the target adjusted to around 3150. Currently, the bullish trend is steady, and the rhythm remains unchanged, with a firm bullish stance in the short to medium term. Structurally, after undergoing previous cyclical adjustments, it is once again showing a strong upward trend with consecutive gains. The bulls are strong, and the structural context is clear. The current phase is one of high-level consolidation and correction, which is actually gathering strength for a potential surge. The technical foundation is being solidified. At present, all pullbacks are still seen as part of the adjustment process, and they do not change the bullish trend. The subsequent strength and timing of the second push to new highs will become the focus of attention. In the short cycle, the correction steps are gradually taking shape, and based on this, there is temporarily no top above, with further upward space still worth anticipating. #BTC再创新高# #ETH突破3000# #VIP 专属空投嘉年华#