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Macroeconomic Weekly Report: The Market Seeks New Balance, Defensive Sentiment Heats Up 1. Macro Review of This Week 1. Overall market performance This week, the market showed a clear adjustment trend, with investors pricing risk assets entering a phase of correction. The three major U.S. stock indices generally fell, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 3.1%, the Nasdaq down 2.6%, and the Russell 2000 down 1.8%. Notably, the utilities sector rose against the trend by 1.4%, becoming the only industry to increase, reflecting a shift of funds towards defensive assets. The VIX volatility index remained above 20 but did not enter the extreme panic zone, indicating that the market is more of a correction of the previous overly optimistic sentiment. 2. Product Market Differentiation Gold prices have surpassed $3000 per ounce, hitting a historic high, reflecting a sustained increase in market risk aversion. Copper prices rose by 3.9%, indicating that manufacturing demand still has some support. Energy

This week, the market was affected by the Fed's interest rate cut expectations and the slowdown of the US economy. Multiple factors intertwined, leading to a pullback in US stocks and Crypto Assets, as investors adjusted the pricing of risk assets. Signals from the Liquidity and credit markets indicate a cautious sentiment regarding the economic outlook, suggesting a drop in high β asset allocation, while following defensive zones and high-rated bonds. Next week, attention will be on the interest rate cut expectations from the FOMC meeting and changes in Fed policy.

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This article reviews the game of multiple expectations in the current market, analyzes the performance of U.S. stocks, commodities, and Crypto Assets, as well as the changes in the Liquidity and Intrerest Rate markets. Although inflation data fell below expectations, there remains uncertainty in the market's confidence regarding a drop in interest rates. It is recommended to reduce allocations to high-risk assets and increase investments in defensive zones, while also following credit risk and Fed policy trends.

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