UK May Manufacturing PMI Final Value

With Trump as president in the fall and a 98% chance of interest rate cuts in September, the end of the year is going to be explosive in terms of crypto. Patience, good people.

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Positive signals emerge in the Crypto Assets market. Recently, Ethereum holders have welcomed a bountiful year. With the successful completion of the Shanghai upgrade, ETH has begun a new round of upward momentum, having increased by over 75% this year. The current market shows an upward trend, and the bear market has collapsed. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum have broken through the bear market trading range, and altcoins are also poised for action. Despite numerous negative news reports, such as the prediction of large-scale withdrawals and sell-offs of Ethereum, as well as regulatory scrutiny on certain individuals, the Crypto Assets market has maintained an upward trend since the FTX incident hit bottom. Against the backdrop of a banking crisis and the spread of risks, the Crypto Assets market still performs strongly. At this time, we can't help but rethink the old question of the encryption market: should we take action now, or wait until the FOMO sentiment spreads before entering the market? The following five key indicators may provide you with some reference. ( Reminder: This article is for reference only.

The Fed recently maintained the interest rate at 4.25–4.50%, showing sustained concern over inflation issues. Meanwhile, Trump has called for a significant cut of 3 percentage points, intending to stimulate market rise. These two vastly different positions have sparked extensive discussion in the market. The Fed's strategy aims to balance inflation control and economic stability, while Trump's stance leans more towards short-term market prosperity. This difference in policy orientation may lead to fluctuations in market sentiment. In the short term, the market's expectations for liquidity may drive the rise of risk assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. However, in the long term, political intervention may affect the Fed's independence, increasing policy uncertainty and thus amplifying market volatility. If interest rate cuts become a reality, it may stimulate the activity of speculative funds, driving a short-term rise in the cryptocurrency market. However, excessively loose policies could also trigger a new round of inflation risks. On the contrary, if the high interest rate environment persists, it may lead to a retreat of hot money, a decline in liquidity in the cryptocurrency market, and at the same time, increase the cost pressure on mining companies, narrowing their profit margins. Overall, the cryptocurrency market may benefit in the short term from expectations of interest rate cuts, but in the long term, it is still necessary to be vigilant about the risks brought by policy changes. Investors should closely follow policy trends, weigh short-term opportunities against long-term risks, and make prudent investment decisions.

This week, the cryptocurrency market is迎来重大事件, the Federal Reserve is about to release its policy statement, and market participants are generally paying close attention. The Federal Reserve's stance will directly affect the market direction, and three distinctly different scenarios may arise. The first scenario is that the Federal Reserve directly announces a rate cut. This will greatly stimulate market sentiment, and mainstream encryption currencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum may see significant increases, potentially even breaking recent highs. The second scenario is that the Federal Reserve hints at a possible interest rate cut in September. Although not as strong as the direct impact of a rate cut, the market may still maintain an upward trend, building momentum for a larger increase in the future. The third scenario is that the Federal Reserve continues to maintain a vague stance. In this case, investors need to be particularly cautious, as the market may experience brief, slight fluctuations before turning into a downward trend, and blindly chasing high prices may expose investors to significant risks. In light of the current situation, it is advised that investors remain calm and avoid blindly chasing prices. The market is highly volatile, and entering hastily may lead to significant losses. The best strategy is to wait for clarity on the Federal Reserve's policies before making decisions, avoiding risks in uncertainty. Regardless of the final outcome, the Federal Reserve's policy statement will have a significant impact on the encryption currency market. Investors should closely monitor developments, analyze rationally, and act cautiously to respond to various possible market situations.